⚽ Football · Latvia Virsliga · 25/06, 16:00
SC Grobinas vs FK Auda
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SC Grobinas 1422 · FK Auda 1556
| SC Grobinas | Draw | FK Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 19% | 23% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.51SC Grobinas 0.99 · FK Auda 1.52
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Likely score0-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Auda (rating 1422 vs 1556).
- H2H favours FK Auda: 5-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.4 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Grobinas | FK Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Grobinas 0–1–5 FK Auda
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | FK Auda | 7-0 HT 3-0 | SC Grobinas |
| 14/03/26 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FK Auda |
| 09/11/25 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 2-2 HT 0-2 | FK Auda |
| 24/08/25 Latvia Virsliga | FK Auda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SC Grobinas |
| 06/08/25 Latvia Cup | FK Auda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SC Grobinas |
| 18/06/25 Latvia Virsliga | SC Grobinas | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Auda |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
SC Grobinas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 20/05 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-7 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
FK Auda
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/06 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 11 | W |
| 26/05 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 07/05 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
3-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 5 | W |