⚽ Football · Latvia Virsliga · 25/06, 19:00
SK Super Nova vs FK Jelgava
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Super Nova 1448 · FK Jelgava 1490
| SK Super Nova | Draw | FK Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.08SK Super Nova 1.08 · FK Jelgava 1
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 58%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Jelgava (rating 1448 vs 1490).
- H2H favours FK Jelgava: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Super Nova | FK Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 3.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Super Nova 0–3–3 FK Jelgava
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | FK Jelgava | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SK Super Nova |
| 15/03/26 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Jelgava |
| 04/10/25 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Jelgava |
| 20/07/25 Latvia Virsliga | FK Jelgava | 1-0 HT 1-0 | SK Super Nova |
| 21/05/25 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Jelgava |
| 05/04/25 Latvia Virsliga | FK Jelgava | 2-1 HT 1-0 | SK Super Nova |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
SK Super Nova
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 12/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
FK Jelgava
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/06 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 26/05 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |