BetsTalentBetsTalent
ES EN
Log in Sign up Telegram
Football · Latvia Virsliga · 30/06, 17:00

RFS vs BFC Daugavpils

Expected goals: 3.73 (RFS 2.82 · BFC Daugavpils 0.91). The model gives 76% home, 15% draw, 9% away. Over 3 goals (57%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 2-0.

76%1
76% 15% 9%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RFS 1634 · BFC Daugavpils 1444
RFSDrawBFC Daugavpils
Our model76%15%9%
Market77%14%9%
Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.73RFS 2.82 · BFC Daugavpils 0.91
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 57%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFS (rating 1634 vs 1444).
  • H2H favours RFS: 6-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RFSBFC Daugavpils
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 0.50.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.30.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 7.32.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.22 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · RFS 6–0–0 BFC Daugavpils

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/26
Latvia Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils0-1
HT 0-1
RFS
21/03/26
Latvia Virsliga
RFS4-1
HT 1-1
BFC Daugavpils
21/09/25
Latvia Virsliga
RFS5-1
HT 3-0
BFC Daugavpils
30/06/25
Latvia Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils1-7
HT 1-2
RFS
09/05/25
Latvia Virsliga
RFS5-1
HT 2-0
BFC Daugavpils
15/03/25
Latvia Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils1-2
HT 0-2
RFS

Standings · Latvia Virsliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 RFS 201712 501452
2 Riga FC 201541 601949
3 FK Auda 201235 362339
4 FK Liepaja 20749 233125
5 BFC Daugavpils 20668 212524
6 FK Jelgava 20578 223522
7 SK Super Nova 206311 203221
8 Tukums 2000 20389 353917
9 SC Grobinas 20389 123017
10 Ogre United 202414 195010

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRFSBFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja 2-0 W 1-2 L
Ogre United 6-0 W 3-1 W
Riga FC 1-2 L 0-0 D
SC Grobinas 3-1 W 1-0 W
SK Super Nova 2-1 W 0-0 D
Tukums 2000 3-1 W 1-1 D
FK Jelgava 4-0 W 1-1 D
FK Auda 3-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 7 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RFS (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RFS

WWWWWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 2-0 47 W
22/06 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
 3-0 6-0 84 W
17/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
 0-2 1-2 19 L
13/06 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
 2-0 3-1 40 W
29/05 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
 1-1 2-1 154 W
25/05 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
 2-0 3-1 124 W
21/05 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
 1-0 4-0 80 W
17/05 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
 2-0 3-0 66 W
13/05 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
 1-0 1-0 112 W
08/05 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
 3-0 5-0 42 W

BFC Daugavpils

LLLWLDDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 0-0 22 D
20/06 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 1-0 45 W
16/06 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 0-0 70 D
12/06 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 1-1 42 D
31/05 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 1-1 71 D
26/05 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
 0-0 0-1 53 L
21/05 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
 2-0 3-1 61 W
17/05 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
 0-1 1-2 43 L
13/05 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
 0-1 0-1 32 L
08/05 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
 0-1 1-3 42 L