⚽ Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 27/06, 13:00
FC Trollhättan vs Angelholm
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Trollhättan 1473 · Angelholm 1514
| FC Trollhättan | Draw | Angelholm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 23% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.19FC Trollhättan 1.64 · Angelholm 1.55
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 64%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angelholm (rating 1473 vs 1514).
- High estimate: 3.19 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours FC Trollhättan: 3-2-1.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Trollhättan | Angelholm | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Trollhättan 3–2–1 Angelholm
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Sweden 1.div Södra | Angelholm | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC Trollhättan |
| 11/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra | FC Trollhättan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Angelholm |
| 19/10/24 Sweden 1.div Södra | Angelholm | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FC Trollhättan |
| 09/06/24 Sweden 1.div Södra | FC Trollhättan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Angelholm |
| 22/10/23 Sweden 1.div Södra | FC Trollhättan | 7-0 HT 1-0 | Angelholm |
| 23/04/23 Sweden 1.div Södra | Angelholm | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Trollhättan |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FC Trollhättan
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/06 | Vastkurd BK Sweden Cup Qualification |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Angelholm
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | BK Astrio Sweden Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 08/06 | BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |