⚽ Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 27/06, 16:00
Ariana FC Malmo vs Jonkopings Sodra
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariana FC Malmo 1536 · Jonkopings Sodra 1531
| Ariana FC Malmo | Draw | Jonkopings Sodra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.71Ariana FC Malmo 1.55 · Jonkopings Sodra 1.15
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Jonkopings Sodra: 3-1-0.
- Early goals: 2.1 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 13 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ariana FC Malmo | Jonkopings Sodra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 3.9 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Ariana FC Malmo 0–1–3 Jonkopings Sodra
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 Sweden 1.div Södra | Jonkopings Sodra | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ariana FC Malmo |
| 05/04/25 Sweden 1.div Södra | Ariana FC Malmo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jonkopings Sodra |
| 10/11/24 Sweden 1.div Södra | Ariana FC Malmo | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Jonkopings Sodra |
| 29/06/24 Sweden 1.div Södra | Jonkopings Sodra | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ariana FC Malmo |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Ariana FC Malmo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | BK Olympic Sweden Cup Qualification |
2-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Jonkopings Sodra
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |