Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 28/06, 14:00
Linero IF vs IFK Karlshamn
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linero IF 1525 · IFK Karlshamn 1444
| Linero IF | Draw | IFK Karlshamn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.29Linero IF 2.12 · IFK Karlshamn 1.17
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linero IF (rating 1525 vs 1444).
- High estimate: 3.29 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Linero IF: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Linero IF | IFK Karlshamn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linero IF 2–0–1 IFK Karlshamn
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland | IFK Karlshamn | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Linero IF |
| 31/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland | IFK Karlshamn | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Linero IF |
| 10/05/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland | Linero IF | 4-1 HT 3-1 | IFK Karlshamn |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linero IF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
IFK Karlshamn
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |