Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 28/06, 16:00
Örebro Syrianska IF vs Syrianska FC
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Örebro Syrianska IF 1480 · Syrianska FC 1423
| Örebro Syrianska IF | Draw | Syrianska FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 23% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.17Örebro Syrianska IF 1.89 · Syrianska FC 1.28
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Örebro Syrianska IF (rating 1480 vs 1423).
- High estimate: 3.17 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Örebro Syrianska IF | Syrianska FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Örebro Syrianska IF 1–0–1 Syrianska FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Syrianska FC | 0-7 HT 0-3 | Örebro Syrianska IF |
| 04/02/24 Club Friendly List | Syrianska FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Örebro Syrianska IF |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Örebro Syrianska IF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Syrianska FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/05 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-3 | 0-7 | 3 | 3 | L |