Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 27/06, 13:00
IK Franke vs Viggbyholms IK
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IK Franke 1521 · Viggbyholms IK 1431
| IK Franke | Draw | Viggbyholms IK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.35IK Franke 2.13 · Viggbyholms IK 1.23
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 54%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Franke (rating 1521 vs 1431).
- High estimate: 3.35 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Viggbyholms IK: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IK Franke | Viggbyholms IK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 1.8 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Franke 1–1–4 Viggbyholms IK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | Viggbyholms IK | 2-1 HT 1-0 | IK Franke |
| 24/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | Viggbyholms IK | 2-3 HT 1-0 | IK Franke |
| 04/04/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | IK Franke | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Viggbyholms IK |
| 31/08/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | Viggbyholms IK | 4-0 HT 2-0 | IK Franke |
| 05/05/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | IK Franke | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Viggbyholms IK |
| 26/08/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | Viggbyholms IK | 3-0 HT 3-0 | IK Franke |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IK Franke
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/06 | Forssa BK Sweden Cup Qualification |
0-2 | 6-5 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | 17 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Viggbyholms IK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 07/06 | IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/06 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden Cup Qualification |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |

