Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 27/06, 13:00
IFK Haninge vs IK Sleipner
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IFK Haninge 1599 · IK Sleipner 1552
| IFK Haninge | Draw | IK Sleipner | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 23% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.64IFK Haninge 2.03 · IK Sleipner 1.61
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Haninge (rating 1599 vs 1552).
- High estimate: 3.64 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.8 combined avg at HT (1.8 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Haninge | IK Sleipner | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.4 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.5 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Haninge 3–0–3 IK Sleipner
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | IK Sleipner | 2-0 HT 1-0 | IFK Haninge |
| 04/10/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | IFK Haninge | 3-1 HT 1-0 | IK Sleipner |
| 08/06/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | IK Sleipner | 2-3 HT 0-1 | IFK Haninge |
| 16/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | IFK Haninge | 1-2 HT 0-1 | IK Sleipner |
| 21/05/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | IK Sleipner | 5-0 HT 1-0 | IFK Haninge |
| 15/09/18 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | IK Sleipner | 1-6 HT 1-3 | IFK Haninge |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IFK Haninge
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | Vendelso IK Sweden Cup Qualification |
2-0 | 4-1 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 4-3 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
IK Sleipner
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 3-2 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |