⚽ Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 25/06, 19:00
Nykopings BIS vs Nacka FC
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nykopings BIS 1537 · Nacka FC 1385
| Nykopings BIS | Draw | Nacka FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 66% | 16% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickNykopings BIS · 68%
Expected goals2.81Nykopings BIS 2.09 · Nacka FC 0.71
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 55%
BTTSNo · 55%
Likely score2-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nykopings BIS (rating 1537 vs 1385).
- H2H favours Nykopings BIS: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nykopings BIS | Nacka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 1.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykopings BIS 4–1–0 Nacka FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nacka FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nykopings BIS |
| 08/09/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nykopings BIS | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Nacka FC |
| 10/05/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nacka FC | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Nykopings BIS |
| 10/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nykopings BIS | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Nacka FC |
| 12/05/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Nacka FC | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Nykopings BIS |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Nykopings BIS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/06 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 14/05 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Nacka FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |