Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 28/06, 16:00
Ragsveds IF vs BK Forward
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ragsveds IF 1499 · BK Forward 1557
| Ragsveds IF | Draw | BK Forward | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.46Ragsveds IF 1.87 · BK Forward 1.6
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Forward (rating 1499 vs 1557).
- High estimate: 3.46 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Ragsveds IF: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ragsveds IF | BK Forward | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ragsveds IF 2–0–1 BK Forward
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | BK Forward | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Ragsveds IF |
| 31/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | Ragsveds IF | 1-0 HT 1-0 | BK Forward |
| 03/05/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | BK Forward | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ragsveds IF |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ragsveds IF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Enkopings SK Sweden Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/05 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 4-2 | 0 | 8 | W |
BK Forward
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |