⚽ Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 25/06, 19:00
Galtabäcks BK vs IF Boljan
39%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Galtabäcks BK 1407 · IF Boljan 1523
| Galtabäcks BK | Draw | IF Boljan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3Galtabäcks BK 1.3 · IF Boljan 1.7
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 59%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueIF Boljan +6.2%The model gives this bet 6.2% more probability than its odds (2.70) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Boljan (rating 1407 vs 1523).
- Early goals: 1.3 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Galtabäcks BK | IF Boljan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.2 | 1.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Galtabäcks BK 0–0–1 IF Boljan
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland | IF Boljan | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Galtabäcks BK |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Galtabäcks BK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
IF Boljan
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/06 | BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/06 | Sävedalens IF Sweden Cup Qualification |
0-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |