Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 28/06, 13:00
Jonsereds IF vs IK Kongahälla
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jonsereds IF 1492 · IK Kongahälla 1454
| Jonsereds IF | Draw | IK Kongahälla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.14Jonsereds IF 1.93 · IK Kongahälla 1.21
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.14 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours IK Kongahälla: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jonsereds IF | IK Kongahälla | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.5 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonsereds IF 0–0–2 IK Kongahälla
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland | IK Kongahälla | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Jonsereds IF |
| 29/06/19 Sweden 3.div Nordvästra Götaland | Jonsereds IF | 1-5 HT 0-2 | IK Kongahälla |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonsereds IF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 05/06 | Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
IK Kongahälla
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |