Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 27/06, 16:00
Husqvarna FF vs IF Karlstad II
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Husqvarna FF 1605 · IF Karlstad II 1428
| Husqvarna FF | Draw | IF Karlstad II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.12Husqvarna FF 2.34 · IF Karlstad II 0.78
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Husqvarna FF usually leads at HT (70%) while IF Karlstad II trails (50%): look at home at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Husqvarna FF (rating 1605 vs 1428).
- High estimate: 3.12 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (1.4 + 0.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Husqvarna FF | IF Karlstad II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 0.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Husqvarna FF 1–0–0 IF Karlstad II
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IF Karlstad II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Husqvarna FF |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Husqvarna FF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 10/06 | Malmslatts AIK Sweden Cup Qualification |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 17 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
4-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
IF Karlstad II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/05 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |