Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 01/07, 19:30
Husqvarna FF vs Lidköpings FK
Expected goals: 3.67 (Husqvarna FF 2.74 · Lidköpings FK 0.93). The model gives 75% home, 15% draw, 10% away. Under 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 2-0.
75%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Husqvarna FF 1604 · Lidköpings FK 1450
| Husqvarna FF | Draw | Lidköpings FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 16% | 10% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.67Husqvarna FF 2.74 · Lidköpings FK 0.93
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Husqvarna FF (rating 1604 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Husqvarna FF: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Husqvarna FF | Lidköpings FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.9 | 1 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.9 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Husqvarna FF 2–0–0 Lidköpings FK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Lidköpings FK | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Husqvarna FF |
| 21/03/25 Club Friendly List | Husqvarna FF | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Lidköpings FK |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna FF | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 38 |
| 2 | Skara | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde FK | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Grebbestads IF | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 25 |
| 5 | Ahlafors IF | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Stenungsunds IF | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 7 | Motala AIF FK | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 8 | IFK Kumla | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Herrestads AIF | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 27 | 17 |
| 10 | Vanersborgs FK | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | Lidköpings FK | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 11 |
| 12 | IF Karlstad II | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 10 |
| 13 | IK Tord | 14 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 8 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Husqvarna FF | Lidköpings FK |
|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad II | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Grebbestads IF | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Stenungsunds IF | 3-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Vänersborgs IF | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| IK Tord | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Skara | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Husqvarna FF (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Husqvarna FF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 18/06 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 10/06 | Malmslatts AIK Sweden Cup Qualification |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 17 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
4-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Lidköpings FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/06 | Skövde AIK Sweden Cup |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-3 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |