⚽ Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 25/06, 20:00
Helges IF vs Sunnersta AIF
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Helges IF 1404 · Sunnersta AIF 1582
| Helges IF | Draw | Sunnersta AIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 21% | 56% |
| Market | 15% | 18% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickSunnersta AIF · 62%
Expected goals3.22Helges IF 1.2 · Sunnersta AIF 2.02
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 61%
Likely score1-2
🔑 Match keys
- Sunnersta AIF usually leads at HT (60%) while Helges IF trails (50%): look at away at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sunnersta AIF (rating 1404 vs 1582).
- High estimate: 3.22 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.1 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Helges IF | Sunnersta AIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 2.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 4.5 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Helges IF 0–0–1 Sunnersta AIF
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | Sunnersta AIF | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Helges IF |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Helges IF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Sunnersta AIF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
4-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |