Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 01/07, 19:00

Eskilsminne IF vs Kristianstad FC

Expected goals: 3.09 (Eskilsminne IF 1.76 · Kristianstad FC 1.32). The model gives 47% home, 25% draw, 28% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

47%1

47% 25% 28%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilsminne IF 1491 · Kristianstad FC 1461

	Eskilsminne IF	Draw	Kristianstad FC
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals3.09Eskilsminne IF 1.76 · Kristianstad FC 1.32

Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%

BTTSYes · 57%

Most likely total3 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eskilsminne IF: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilsminne IF	Kristianstad FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.91 → 1.91 – 0%

X 3.60 → 3.60 – 0%

2 3.20 → 3.20 – 0%

Over/Under 3

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilsminne IF 5–1–0 Kristianstad FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Club Friendly List	Eskilsminne IF	2-2 HT 1-1	Kristianstad FC
25/03/23 Club Friendly List	Eskilsminne IF	4-0 HT 2-0	Kristianstad FC
12/08/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	1-3 HT 1-0	Eskilsminne IF
05/05/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	3-1 HT 0-0	Kristianstad FC
22/10/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Eskilsminne IF
07/04/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	2-1 HT 1-0	Kristianstad FC

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	14	9	5	0	33	12	32
2	Ariana FC Malmo	14	8	3	3	28	16	27
3	Atvidabergs FF	14	7	5	2	30	18	26
4	Lunds BK	14	7	5	2	26	16	26
5	FC Rosengård 1917	14	6	4	4	23	19	22
6	Hässleholms IF	14	6	3	5	27	22	21
7	Tvååkers IF	14	6	3	5	17	19	21
8	BK Olympic	14	6	1	7	22	24	19
9	Jonkopings Sodra	14	5	3	6	20	15	18
10	Eskilsminne IF	14	5	2	7	22	26	17
11	Angelholm	14	3	7	4	22	22	16
12	Skövde AIK	14	3	7	4	11	20	16
13	Kristianstad FC	14	3	5	6	14	21	14
14	Laholms FK	14	4	1	9	21	29	13
15	FC Trollhättan	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
16	Utsiktens BK	14	1	1	12	10	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilsminne IF	Kristianstad FC
BK Olympic	1-2 L	0-2 L
FC Trollhättan	2-0 W	1-1 D
Trelleborgs FF	2-3 L	0-0 D
Lunds BK	2-4 L	1-1 D
Hässleholms IF	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Eskilsminne IF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Eskilsminne IF

WWDLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
18/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
13/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	0-4	3	3	L
10/06	FBK Balkan Sweden Cup Qualification	0-2	3-2	11	5	W
07/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
30/05	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/05	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-4	6	3	L
17/05	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
13/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	3-1	3	4	W
09/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	4-0	5	0	W

Kristianstad FC

LLLWLWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
21/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
13/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
07/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
30/05	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
22/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-3	9	4	L
18/05	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
13/05	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
09/05	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
02/05	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-3	6	6	L