Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 27/06, 16:00
Bollstanäs SK vs Korsnas IF FK
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bollstanäs SK 1495 · Korsnas IF FK 1426
| Bollstanäs SK | Draw | Korsnas IF FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.16Bollstanäs SK 1.86 · Korsnas IF FK 1.3
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bollstanäs SK (rating 1495 vs 1426).
- High estimate: 3.16 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Bollstanäs SK: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bollstanäs SK | Korsnas IF FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.9 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bollstanäs SK 2–0–1 Korsnas IF FK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | Korsnas IF FK | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Bollstanäs SK |
| 26/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | Korsnas IF FK | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bollstanäs SK |
| 18/04/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand | Bollstanäs SK | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Korsnas IF FK |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bollstanäs SK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Gute Sweden Cup Qualification |
2-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 07/06 | IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-2 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
Korsnas IF FK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-4 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |