Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 27/06, 18:00
Grotta (W) vs Volsungur (W)
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grotta (W) 1529 · Volsungur (W) 1483
| Grotta (W) | Draw | Volsungur (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| Market | 61% | 21% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.06Grotta (W) 2.61 · Volsungur (W) 1.45
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grotta (W) (rating 1529 vs 1483).
- High estimate: 4.06 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 1.2) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grotta (W) | Volsungur (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 2.3 | 2.1 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.8 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grotta (W) 1–1–1 Volsungur (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/22 Iceland Cup Women | Grotta (W) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Volsungur (W) |
| 26/09/20 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Grotta (W) | 4-4 HT 1-2 | Volsungur (W) |
| 25/07/20 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Volsungur (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Grotta (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grotta (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-4 | 4-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Fylkir Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/04 | Selfoss (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-3 | 6-4 | 6 | 2 | W |
Volsungur (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-6 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Dalvik/Reynir (W) Iceland Cup Women |
5-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/07 | Alftanes (W) Iceland 2 Deild Women |
2-2 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | L |