Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 02/07, 21:15
IA Akranes (W) vs Grotta (W)
Expected goals: 3.74 (IA Akranes (W) 1.72 · Grotta (W) 2.03). The model gives 33% home, 23% draw, 45% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1.
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IA Akranes (W) 1509 · Grotta (W) 1551
| IA Akranes (W) | Draw | Grotta (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| Market | 33% | 22% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.74IA Akranes (W) 1.72 · Grotta (W) 2.03
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grotta (W) (rating 1509 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Grotta (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IA Akranes (W) | Grotta (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 2.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IA Akranes (W) 0–1–5 Grotta (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild Women | IA Akranes (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Grotta (W) |
| 28/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Grotta (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | IA Akranes (W) |
| 07/09/24 Iceland 1 Deild Women | IA Akranes (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Grotta (W) |
| 13/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Grotta (W) | 3-2 HT 2-2 | IA Akranes (W) |
| 17/04/24 Iceland Cup Women | Grotta (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | IA Akranes (W) |
| 27/04/23 Iceland Cup Women | IA Akranes (W) | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Grotta (W) |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KR Reykjavik (W) | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Grotta (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Haukar (W) | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | IA Akranes (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 10 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 10 |
| 6 | Selfoss (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Volsungur (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | Keflavik (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 7 |
| 9 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 10 | Tindastoll (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IA Akranes (W) | Grotta (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Selfoss (W) | 5-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Volsungur (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Keflavik (W) | 1-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Tindastoll (W) | 5-0 W | 5-0 W |
| KR Reykjavik (W) | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| HK Kopavogur (W) | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Grotta (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IA Akranes (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Afturelding (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Fjolnir (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Grotta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-4 | 4-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Fylkir Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |