⚽ Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 26/06, 19:30
Skara vs Herrestads AIF
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Skara 1607 · Herrestads AIF 1498
| Skara | Draw | Herrestads AIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.24Skara 2.17 · Herrestads AIF 1.07
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skara (rating 1607 vs 1498).
- High estimate: 3.24 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.4 combined avg at HT (1 + 1.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Skara | Herrestads AIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Skara 1–1–1 Herrestads AIF
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Herrestads AIF | 4-4 HT 0-2 | Skara |
| 06/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Herrestads AIF | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Skara |
| 25/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Skara | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Herrestads AIF |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Skara
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/06 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 21/05 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Herrestads AIF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 15/06 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/05 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
4-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |