⚽ Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 26/06, 19:30
Hässleholms IF vs Tvååkers IF
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hässleholms IF 1498 · Tvååkers IF 1524
| Hässleholms IF | Draw | Tvååkers IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.77Hässleholms IF 1.48 · Tvååkers IF 1.29
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 56%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueDraw +5%The model gives this bet 5% more probability than its odds (1.90) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Early goals: 1.3 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hässleholms IF | Tvååkers IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Hässleholms IF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Räppe GOIF Sweden Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Tvååkers IF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/05 | Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |