⚽ Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 24/06, 18:00
Grebbestads IF vs IFK Kumla
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grebbestads IF 1537 · IFK Kumla 1476
| Grebbestads IF | Draw | IFK Kumla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3Grebbestads IF 1.89 · IFK Kumla 1.11
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 57%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueGrebbestads IF +5.4%The model gives this bet 5.4% more probability than its odds (2.15) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grebbestads IF (rating 1537 vs 1476).
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grebbestads IF | IFK Kumla | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.3 | 3.7 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Grebbestads IF 3–0–3 IFK Kumla
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Kumla | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Grebbestads IF |
| 05/10/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Kumla | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Grebbestads IF |
| 10/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 0-2 HT 0-0 | IFK Kumla |
| 14/09/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 5-0 HT 2-0 | IFK Kumla |
| 18/05/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Kumla | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Grebbestads IF |
| 11/09/22 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Kumla | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Grebbestads IF |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Grebbestads IF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-3 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 12/06 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 3-2 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
IFK Kumla
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/06 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |