⚽ Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 25/06, 19:00
IFK Skövde FK vs Lidköpings FK
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IFK Skövde FK 1576 · Lidköpings FK 1418
| IFK Skövde FK | Draw | Lidköpings FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickIFK Skövde FK · 68%
Expected goals3.73IFK Skövde FK 2.57 · Lidköpings FK 1.15
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 63%
Likely score2-1
💎 ValueOver 3 goals · +7.4%The model gives this bet 7.4% more probability than its odds (1.98) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Skövde FK (rating 1576 vs 1418).
- High estimate: 3.73 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (1.1 + 0.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Skövde FK | Lidköpings FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Skövde FK 1–4–1 Lidköpings FK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Lidköpings FK | 3-3 HT 1-2 | IFK Skövde FK |
| 24/08/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Lidköpings FK | 0-1 HT 0-1 | IFK Skövde FK |
| 26/04/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Skövde FK | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Lidköpings FK |
| 11/08/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Lidköpings FK | 0-0 HT 0-0 | IFK Skövde FK |
| 14/04/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IFK Skövde FK | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lidköpings FK |
| 16/10/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Lidköpings FK | 2-1 HT 2-1 | IFK Skövde FK |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
IFK Skövde FK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 12/06 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 29/05 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-2 | 6-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Lidköpings FK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/06 | Skövde AIK Sweden Cup |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-3 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |