⚽ Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 27/06, 16:00
FC Arlanda vs IF Karlstad Fotboll
38%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Arlanda 1534 · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1579
| FC Arlanda | Draw | IF Karlstad Fotboll | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.59FC Arlanda 1.33 · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1.26
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 53%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Karlstad Fotboll (rating 1534 vs 1579).
- H2H favours IF Karlstad Fotboll: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.2 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Arlanda | IF Karlstad Fotboll | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Arlanda 0–0–2 IF Karlstad Fotboll
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 Sweden 1.div Norra | FC Arlanda | 3-5 HT 1-1 | IF Karlstad Fotboll |
| 29/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra | IF Karlstad Fotboll | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Arlanda |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FC Arlanda
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | FC Järfälla Sweden Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/06 | IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/06 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/05 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 13/05 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
IF Karlstad Fotboll
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |