Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 27/06, 18:00
KR Reykjavik (W) vs Tindastoll (W)
83%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KR Reykjavik (W) 1562 · Tindastoll (W) 1397
| KR Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Tindastoll (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 88% | 8% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.28 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.28KR Reykjavik (W) 3.14 · Tindastoll (W) 1.14
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KR Reykjavik (W) (rating 1562 vs 1397).
- High estimate: 4.28 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours KR Reykjavik (W): 2-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KR Reykjavik (W) | Tindastoll (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 5.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.9 | 1 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KR Reykjavik (W) 2–1–0 Tindastoll (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/22 Iceland Cup Women | Tindastoll (W) | 1-1 | KR Reykjavik (W) |
| 10/07/20 Iceland Cup Women | KR Reykjavik (W) | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Tindastoll (W) |
| 28/06/19 Iceland Cup Women | KR Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tindastoll (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KR Reykjavik (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 4-3 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Keflavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/03 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 21/02 | Haukar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
Tindastoll (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-7 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/05 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | IR Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/02 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-8 | 0-16 | – | – | L |