⚽ Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 26/06, 21:15
Leiknir Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leiknir Reykjavik 1518 · IR Reykjavik 1473
| Leiknir Reykjavik | Draw | IR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.11Leiknir Reykjavik 1.89 · IR Reykjavik 1.22
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leiknir Reykjavik (rating 1518 vs 1473).
- High estimate: 3.11 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leiknir Reykjavik | IR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 2.5 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiknir Reykjavik 2–2–2 IR Reykjavik
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | IR Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 23/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 0-1 | IR Reykjavik |
| 13/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 09/01/25 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Leiknir Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 0-1 | IR Reykjavik |
| 25/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 18/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | IR Reykjavik |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Leiknir Reykjavik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 27/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
IR Reykjavik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
4-1 | 7-4 | 6 | 7 | W |