⚽ Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 26/06, 21:15
Afturelding vs Njardvik
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Afturelding 1556 · Njardvik 1513
| Afturelding | Draw | Njardvik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.17Afturelding 1.91 · Njardvik 1.26
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Afturelding (rating 1556 vs 1513).
- High estimate: 3.17 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Afturelding: 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Afturelding | Njardvik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.1 | 3.3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Afturelding 5–0–1 Njardvik
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Iceland Cup | Afturelding | 5-2 HT 1-0 | Njardvik |
| 30/08/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 4-1 HT 4-0 | Njardvik |
| 30/06/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Njardvik | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Afturelding |
| 20/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Njardvik | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Afturelding |
| 16/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Afturelding | 7-2 HT 4-2 | Njardvik |
| 03/03/23 Iceland League Cup | Njardvik | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Afturelding |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Afturelding
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 05/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
3-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Njardvik Iceland Cup |
1-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
Njardvik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 18/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Afturelding Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |