⚽ Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 26/06, 21:15
Fylkir Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fylkir Reykjavik 1566 · HK Kopavogur 1482
| Fylkir Reykjavik | Draw | HK Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.41Fylkir Reykjavik 2.17 · HK Kopavogur 1.24
BTTSYes · 64%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fylkir Reykjavik (rating 1566 vs 1482).
- High estimate: 3.41 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Fylkir Reykjavik: 4-1-1.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 16 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fylkir Reykjavik | HK Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 8.6 | 3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Fylkir Reykjavik 4–1–1 HK Kopavogur
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild | HK Kopavogur | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 20/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Fylkir Reykjavik | 1-2 HT 1-1 | HK Kopavogur |
| 06/10/24 Iceland Premier League | HK Kopavogur | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 18/08/24 Iceland Premier League | HK Kopavogur | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Fylkir Reykjavik |
| 27/05/24 Iceland Premier League | Fylkir Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 2-0 | HK Kopavogur |
| 16/05/24 Iceland Cup | Fylkir Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 3-1 | HK Kopavogur |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Fylkir Reykjavik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 5-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 4-2 | 16 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
HK Kopavogur
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 05/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 27/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |