⚽ Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 26/06, 21:15
Grindavik vs KF Aegir
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grindavik 1463 · KF Aegir 1443
| Grindavik | Draw | KF Aegir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.28Grindavik 1.89 · KF Aegir 1.39
BTTSYes · 65%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.28 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Grindavik: 2-0-0.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grindavik | KF Aegir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.7 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Grindavik 2–0–0 KF Aegir
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Grindavik | 7-2 HT 2-0 | KF Aegir |
| 22/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild | KF Aegir | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Grindavik |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Grindavik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
KF Aegir
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | KA Akureyri Iceland Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |