⚽ Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 27/06, 07:00
Keilor Park (W) vs Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keilor Park (W) 1481 · Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 1504
| Keilor Park (W) | Draw | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 27% | 23% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.9Keilor Park (W) 1.56 · Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 1.34
Most likely total2 goals
💎 ValueKeilor Park (W) or draw · @2.01Safer option: double chance at 2.01 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Keilor Park (W) | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Keilor Park (W) 1–0–0 Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Keilor Park (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Keilor Park (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 10/04 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 29/04 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |