⚽ Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 27/06, 07:00
Melbourne City NPL (W) vs Avondale FC (W)
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melbourne City NPL (W) 1404 · Avondale FC (W) 1526
| Melbourne City NPL (W) | Draw | Avondale FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 21% | 48% |
| Market | 5% | 9% | 85% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.09 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.09Melbourne City NPL (W) 1.82 · Avondale FC (W) 2.27
BTTSYes · 76%
Likely score1-2
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avondale FC (W) (rating 1404 vs 1526).
- High estimate: 4.09 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Melbourne City NPL (W) | Avondale FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 2.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 1.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Melbourne City NPL (W) 0–0–1 Avondale FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Avondale FC (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Melbourne City NPL (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Melbourne City NPL (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-7 | 2-9 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-4 | 3-9 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 07/04 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
Avondale FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |