⚽ Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 26/06, 10:15
Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Alamein FC (W)
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bentleigh Greens (W) 1407 · Alamein FC (W) 1515
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | Draw | Alamein FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| Market | 15% | 16% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.22Bentleigh Greens (W) 1.43 · Alamein FC (W) 1.79
BTTSYes · 64%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alamein FC (W) (rating 1407 vs 1515).
- High estimate: 3.22 goals → consider Over 2.5.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | Alamein FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 3.2 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentleigh Greens (W) 2–1–2 Alamein FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Bentleigh Greens (W) |
| 23/08/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 1-3 | Bentleigh Greens (W) |
| 23/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alamein FC (W) |
| 20/07/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bentleigh Greens (W) |
| 04/05/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 1-6 HT 1-3 | Alamein FC (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Bentleigh Greens (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Alamein FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Bundoora Utd (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |