⚽ Football · Australia NPL Victoria Women · 27/06, 08:15
Heidelberg United (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heidelberg United (W) 1510 · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1475
| Heidelberg United (W) | Draw | Boroondara Eagles (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Market | 38% | 22% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.41Heidelberg United (W) 2.01 · Boroondara Eagles (W) 1.41
BTTSYes · 66%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.41 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Heidelberg United (W): 4-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heidelberg United (W) | Boroondara Eagles (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/0/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1.4 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Heidelberg United (W) 4–2–0 Boroondara Eagles (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
| 14/06/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Heidelberg United (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Boroondara Eagles (W) |
| 15/03/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
| 06/07/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Heidelberg United (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Boroondara Eagles (W) |
| 20/04/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 4-4 HT 3-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
| 29/07/23 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Heidelberg United (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 19/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
4-0 | 9-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Boroondara Eagles (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/04 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 17/04 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/04 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |