⚽ Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 26/06, 19:00
Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare
38%1
Pick: 1 · 38%
Under 2.5 · 51%
Both to score Yes
Score: 1-1
💎 +11%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 2.65 (Parnu JK Vaprus 1.35 · FC Kuressaare 1.3). The model gives 38% home, 26% draw, 36% away. Recommendation: Parnu JK Vaprus (38%, baja confidence). Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1. 💎 Value spotted on FC Kuressaare: +11% over the odds (3.6).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on FC Kuressaare: the model gives +11% over odds 3.6.
- Early goals: 1.2 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parnu JK Vaprus | FC Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 2.9 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Parnu JK Vaprus 3–0–3 FC Kuressaare
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 | FC Kuressaare | 0-1 | Parnu JK Vaprus |
| 31/01/26 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9-2 | FC Kuressaare |
| 21/10/25 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 0-1 | FC Kuressaare |
| 20/07/25 | FC Kuressaare | 2-1 | Parnu JK Vaprus |
| 01/06/25 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 2-1 | FC Kuressaare |
| 18/04/25 | FC Kuressaare | 1-0 | Parnu JK Vaprus |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Parnu JK Vaprus
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | FC Flora Tallinn | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | JK Nomme Kalju | 1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1-4 | 1-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Harju JK Laagri | 1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | JK Trans Narva | 1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Paide Linnameeskond | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | JK Nomme United | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | JK Nomme Kalju | 2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | FC Kuressaare | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
FC Kuressaare
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | JK Trans Narva | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Harju JK Laagri | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Paide Linnameeskond | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | JK Nomme United | 2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | JK Nomme Kalju | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | JK Nomme United | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | JK Trans Narva | 1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |