Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 28/06, 16:00
JK Nomme Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JK Nomme Kalju 1487 · Paide Linnameeskond 1503
| JK Nomme Kalju | Draw | Paide Linnameeskond | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.48JK Nomme Kalju 1.48 · Paide Linnameeskond 1
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Paide Linnameeskond: 3-3-0.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Nomme Kalju | Paide Linnameeskond | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme Kalju 0–3–3 Paide Linnameeskond
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme Kalju | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Paide Linnameeskond |
| 19/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | Paide Linnameeskond | 1-0 HT 0-0 | JK Nomme Kalju |
| 14/02/26 Europe Friendlies | Paide Linnameeskond | 2-1 HT 1-0 | JK Nomme Kalju |
| 08/11/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme Kalju | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Paide Linnameeskond |
| 14/09/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Paide Linnameeskond | 1-1 HT 1-0 | JK Nomme Kalju |
| 28/05/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme Kalju | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Paide Linnameeskond |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Nomme Kalju
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 30/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-1 | 7-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Paide Linnameeskond
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |