Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 28/06, 18:00
FC Levadia Tallinn vs FC Flora Tallinn
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Levadia Tallinn 1611 · FC Flora Tallinn 1575
| FC Levadia Tallinn | Draw | FC Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.32FC Levadia Tallinn 2.2 · FC Flora Tallinn 1.12
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.32 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 3 combined avg at HT (1.8 + 1.2) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 16.1 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Levadia Tallinn | FC Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.7 | 2.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 8.3 | 4.4 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Levadia Tallinn 3–0–3 FC Flora Tallinn
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Flora Tallinn | 1-3 HT 1-1 | FC Levadia Tallinn |
| 19/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Flora Tallinn |
| 14/02/26 Europe Friendlies | FC Flora Tallinn | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Levadia Tallinn |
| 29/10/25 Estonia Cup | FC Flora Tallinn | 3-1 HT 0-1 | FC Levadia Tallinn |
| 24/09/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Flora Tallinn | 2-3 HT 2-0 | FC Levadia Tallinn |
| 17/09/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1-3 HT 1-2 | FC Flora Tallinn |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Levadia Tallinn
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
4-1 | 6-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
3-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
4-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
FC Flora Tallinn
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |