⚽ Fútbol · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 27/6, 07:00
NWS Spirit (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)
40%1
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · NWS Spirit (W) 1465 · Northern Tigers FC (W) 1525
| NWS Spirit (W) | Empate | Northern Tigers FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 39% | 21% | 40% |
| Mercado | 41% | 24% | 34% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.85 goles · línea Bet365 3 · +0.9
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. El 💎 marca dónde nuestro modelo supera al mercado.
🧠 Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados3.85NWS Spirit (W) 1.91 · Northern Tigers FC (W) 1.94
Más / Menos 3Más 3 · 59%
Ambos marcanSí · 73%
Marcador probable1-1
💎 ValorMás de 3 goles · +6.6%El modelo le da a esta apuesta un 6.6% más de probabilidad de la que paga su cuota (1.80): la casa la tiene infravalorada.
🔑 Claves del partido
- Nuestro total estimado (3.85) se aleja de la línea de Bet365 (3): posible valor en Over 3.
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Northern Tigers FC (W) (rating 1465 vs 1525).
- Total alto: 3.85 goles estimados → Over 2.5 a considerar.
- Historial directo a favor de Northern Tigers FC (W): 3-1-2.
- Se marca pronto: 1.6 goles de media al descanso → Over 0.5 HT.
- Ambos marcan y encajan con frecuencia → BTTS (ambos marcan) a considerar.
📊 Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| NWS Spirit (W) | Northern Tigers FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 20/10/70% | 40/60/0% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.3 | 1.2 / 3.6 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · NWS Spirit (W) 2–1–3 Northern Tigers FC (W)
| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 7-1 HT 4-1 | NWS Spirit (W) |
| 16/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | NWS Spirit (W) |
| 17/05/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | NWS Spirit (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Northern Tigers FC (W) |
| 02/06/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | NWS Spirit (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Northern Tigers FC (W) |
| 02/03/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2-2 HT 0-2 | NWS Spirit (W) |
| 22/07/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | NWS Spirit (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Northern Tigers FC (W) |
📅 Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De estos partidos salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En gris, los partidos que iban 0-0 al descanso.
NWS Spirit (W)
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/6 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | E |
| 13/6 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | V |
| 7/6 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | V |
| 30/5 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | V |
| 22/5 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/5 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-5 | 3-8 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 10/5 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 2/5 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 26/4 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/4 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
Northern Tigers FC (W)
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/6 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | E |
| 14/6 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | V |
| 7/6 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 31/5 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | V |
| 26/5 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | V |
| 23/5 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/5 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 9/5 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | V |
| 3/5 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | V |
| 25/4 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | D |