⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 28/06, 07:00
Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Macarthur Rams (W) 1470 · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1529
| Macarthur Rams (W) | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.39Macarthur Rams (W) 1.68 · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1.71
BTTSYes · 68%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) (rating 1470 vs 1529).
- High estimate: 3.39 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.2 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macarthur Rams (W) | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.6 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 1.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur Rams (W) 1–1–1 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Macarthur Rams (W) |
| 20/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 4-5 HT 3-2 | Macarthur Rams (W) |
| 21/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Macarthur Rams (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Macarthur Rams (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |