Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 28/06, 09:30
Hills United FC (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)
43%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hills United FC (W) 1471 · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1493
| Hills United FC (W) | Draw | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 32% | 24% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.02Hills United FC (W) 1.38 · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1.65
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hills United FC (W) | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hills United FC (W) 1–0–0 Sydney Olympic FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Hills United FC (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hills United FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Sydney Olympic FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 07/06 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 26/04 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |