⚽ Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 28/06, 02:00
Colorado Rapids II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids II 1393 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1444
| Colorado Rapids II | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.79Colorado Rapids II 1.91 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.88
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 56%
BTTSYes · 73%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our estimated total (3.79) is far from Bet365's line (3): possible value on Over 3.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver Whitecaps II (rating 1393 vs 1444).
- High estimate: 3.79 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Colorado Rapids II: 4-1-1.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colorado Rapids II | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1.9 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids II 4–1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps II
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 5-3 HT 1-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 19/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 14/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 08/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 20/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 06/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Colorado Rapids II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 6-5 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/04 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Vancouver Whitecaps II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 5-4 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |