⚽ Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 25/06, 04:00
Los Angeles FC II vs Minnesota United FC II
39%2
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.45Los Angeles FC II 2.2 · Minnesota United FC II 2.25
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 57%
BTTSYes · 79%
Likely score2-2
💎 ValueDraw +5.4%The model gives this bet 5.4% more probability than its odds (1.85) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Estimate (4.45) is far from Bet365's line (3): possible value on Over 3.
- High estimate: 4.45 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.2 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC II | Minnesota United FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 2.7 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC II 2–0–2 Minnesota United FC II
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 17/03/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 10/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 17/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Los Angeles FC II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 8-7 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/04 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
Minnesota United FC II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 20/04 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/04 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |