Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 29/06, 00:00
FC Cincinnati II vs Inter Miami CF II
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Cincinnati II 1452 · Inter Miami CF II 1374
| FC Cincinnati II | Draw | Inter Miami CF II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.27FC Cincinnati II 1.84 · Inter Miami CF II 1.43
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Cincinnati II (rating 1452 vs 1374).
- High estimate: 3.27 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Inter Miami CF II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Cincinnati II | Inter Miami CF II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cincinnati II 2–1–3 Inter Miami CF II
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 26/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | FC Cincinnati II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 11/09/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 17/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | FC Cincinnati II | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 09/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 01/08/22 USA MLS Next Pro League | FC Cincinnati II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Cincinnati II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Inter Miami CF II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/03 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 4 | L |