Football · Faroe Islands Div 1 · 27/06, 18:00
FC Hoyvik vs IF Fuglafjordur
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Hoyvik 1441 · IF Fuglafjordur 1513
| FC Hoyvik | Draw | IF Fuglafjordur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 20% | 60% |
| Market | 20% | 21% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.08FC Hoyvik 1.52 · IF Fuglafjordur 2.56
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Fuglafjordur (rating 1441 vs 1513).
- High estimate: 4.08 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Hoyvik | IF Fuglafjordur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/67/33% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 3.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Hoyvik 0–0–1 IF Fuglafjordur
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Faroe Islands Div 1 | FC Hoyvik | 2-4 HT 1-1 | IF Fuglafjordur |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Hoyvik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | HB Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | NSI Runavik II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | TB Tvoroyri Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/05 | B71 Sandur Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | TB Tvoroyri Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | EB/Streymur II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | FC Suduroy Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Vikingur Gota Faroe Islands Cup |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | HB Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
IF Fuglafjordur
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | NSI Runavik II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | B36 Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | B71 Sandur Faroe Islands Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | HB Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | FC Suduroy Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | B71 Sandur Faroe Islands Div 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | B36 Torshavn II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | TB Tvoroyri Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | NSI Runavik II Faroe Islands Div 1 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/04 | KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Cup |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |