⚽ Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 27/06, 07:30
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Blue Eagles
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide Atletico 1525 · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1555
| Adelaide Atletico | Draw | Adelaide Blue Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 22% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.19Adelaide Atletico 1.68 · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1.51
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 63%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.19 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Adelaide Atletico: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Atletico | Adelaide Blue Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Atletico 3–2–1 Adelaide Blue Eagles
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Adelaide Atletico |
| 25/05/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Atletico | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 26/02/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Atletico |
| 15/07/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Atletico | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 25/04/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Adelaide Atletico |
| 13/08/22 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Atletico |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Adelaide Atletico
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Adelaide Blue Eagles
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 24/04 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |