⚽ Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 27/06, 07:30
Salisbury United vs Cove
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salisbury United 1440 · Cove 1477
| Salisbury United | Draw | Cove | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 22% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.36Salisbury United 1.74 · Cove 1.62
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 66%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.36 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Salisbury United: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salisbury United | Cove | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Salisbury United 3–1–2 Cove
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cove | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Salisbury United |
| 05/07/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Salisbury United | 4-3 HT 3-3 | Cove |
| 12/04/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cove | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Salisbury United |
| 02/07/21 Australia South Australia State League 2 | Salisbury United | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Cove |
| 31/07/20 Australia South Australia State League 2 | Salisbury United | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Cove |
| 28/07/18 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Salisbury United | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Cove |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Salisbury United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
Cove
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |