⚽ Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 26/06, 12:00
Croydon FC vs Adelaide United NPL
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Croydon FC 1517 · Adelaide United NPL 1513
| Croydon FC | Draw | Adelaide United NPL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.44Croydon FC 1.91 · Adelaide United NPL 1.52
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 67%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.44 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Adelaide United NPL: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Croydon FC | Adelaide United NPL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Croydon FC 2–1–3 Adelaide United NPL
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide United NPL | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Croydon FC |
| 21/06/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Croydon FC | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Adelaide United NPL |
| 23/03/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide United NPL | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Croydon FC |
| 15/06/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide United NPL | 3-4 HT 0-3 | Croydon FC |
| 23/03/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Croydon FC | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Adelaide United NPL |
| 05/08/23 Australia South Australia Premier League | Croydon FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Adelaide United NPL |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Croydon FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
Adelaide United NPL
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |