⚽ Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 27/06, 07:30
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Cobras
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1538 · Adelaide Cobras 1425
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | Draw | Adelaide Cobras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.84Adelaide Croatia Raiders 2.48 · Adelaide Cobras 1.36
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 68%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Croatia Raiders (rating 1538 vs 1425).
- High estimate: 3.84 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Adelaide Croatia Raiders: 2-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | Adelaide Cobras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 2.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 2–1–0 Adelaide Cobras
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Cobras | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
| 12/08/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Adelaide Cobras |
| 06/05/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Cobras | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Adelaide Cobras
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | Cumberland United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |