⚽ Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 27/06, 07:30
South Adelaide vs Fulham United FC
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · South Adelaide 1443 · Fulham United FC 1552
| South Adelaide | Draw | Fulham United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 21% | 47% |
| Market | 17% | 19% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.89South Adelaide 1.77 · Fulham United FC 2.13
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 73%
Likely score1-2
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fulham United FC (rating 1443 vs 1552).
- High estimate: 3.89 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Fulham United FC: 3-0-2.
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Adelaide | Fulham United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · South Adelaide 2–0–3 Fulham United FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 6-1 HT 2-0 | South Adelaide |
| 09/08/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | South Adelaide | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Fulham United FC |
| 17/05/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | South Adelaide |
| 19/09/20 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | South Adelaide |
| 01/08/20 Australia South Australia State League 1 | South Adelaide | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Fulham United FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
South Adelaide
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Fulham United FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Adelaide Comets Australia Cup Qualifying |
3-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | D |