⚽ Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 26/06, 12:15
Eastern United vs Cumberland United
46%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eastern United 1479 · Cumberland United 1547
| Eastern United | Draw | Cumberland United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.89Eastern United 1.4 · Cumberland United 1.49
BTTSYes · 60%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cumberland United (rating 1479 vs 1547).
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.3 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastern United | Cumberland United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern United 1–1–1 Cumberland United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cumberland United | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Eastern United |
| 08/07/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cumberland United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Eastern United |
| 22/04/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Eastern United | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cumberland United |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Eastern United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Cumberland United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
4-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Adelaide City Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |